A new poll suggests that Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein is drawing more voters from former President Donald Trump than from Vice President Kamala Harris.

According to a Noble Predictive Insights survey released last week, Harris holds a narrow lead over Trump in a hypothetical three-way race. With Stein on the ballot, Harris’ lead expands, pointing to a potential spoiler effect similar to what many Democrats blamed Stein for doing to Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election.

For Trump, the emergence of Stein as a potential spoiler may be a critical factor in battleground states, where even a small shift in votes could determine the outcome. For Harris, Stein’s candidacy could paradoxically provide an unexpected advantage, drawing votes from Trump and narrowing his pathway to victory.

  • orcrist@lemm.ee
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    2 hours ago

    Do you think all of those people who have been saying that third-party voters are going to destroy the US will be apologizing in the comment section here?

    • Flocklesscrow@lemm.ee
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      49 minutes ago

      First past the post is a terrible design. Let’s rank choice and move on.

      lol, pie in the sky right?

  • tetris11@lemmy.ml
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    3 hours ago

    Always make both parties worried: threaten to vote for a third party to keep the main party on its toes. But vote for the main party on the actual day. This isn’t a time for idealism.

    • DoubleChad@lemmy.ml
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      1 minute ago

      Alright I’ll bite. I don’t understand this. The word liberal has two meanings: the classical and the colloquial. The latter is indistinguishable from leftist, so I assume you are using the classical form.

      Classical liberals will still blame leftists, like … blue maga wants them to? Who exactly is blue maga? Jill Stein supporters?

      Classical liberals also span the left-right spectrum right now so I struggle to see what you are getting at regardless of who it represents, but maybe there is a point here.

    • P03 Locke@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      14 hours ago

      This is a sentence with words, but the arrangement makes no sense. You sure you didn’t generate that from ChatGPT?

      • GarbageShootAlt2@lemmy.ml
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        11 hours ago

        I think it’s funny that someone with “Locke” in their name would seemingly not distinguish between liberals and leftists.

        • Naryn@lemmy.world
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          9 hours ago

          You realise that you’re not using the word liberal as Locke would either right?

          • GarbageShootAlt2@lemmy.ml
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            57 minutes ago

            That’s true, they are (and I guess I am, by extension) using it in a narrower sense than is represented in Locke, who encompasses both the red and blue team, but the Lockean sense would still distinguish between liberals and modern leftism.

      • Alsephina@lemmy.ml
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        14 hours ago

        ? Do you disagree? Isn’t blaming leftists what blue maga is currently priming their voters for if/when they lose?

      • Arelin@lemmy.zip
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        14 hours ago

        This is a sentence with words, but the arrangement makes no sense. You sure you didn’t generate that from ChatGPT?

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    21 hours ago

    I won’t believe a single poll until this election is over. There is so much incentive for misinformation out there it is unbearable. Just get out and vote.

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      17 hours ago

      What’s with .ml obsession with stein anyhow? Is it the links to Putin? I don’t get it.

      • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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        2 hours ago

        Little known fact. The .ml server is run out of an old Soviet bunker in Leningrad, powered entirely by burning copies of the Victims of Communism leaflets in a converted T-34.

      • GarbageShootAlt2@lemmy.ml
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        11 hours ago

        This has to be bait. You can’t possibly think people think that way, right? .ml people disagree with NATO-sphere liberals about a lot of things to do with Russia, but that’s not the same as being mindless Russian chauvinists.

        Like, do you really think whatever meetings she had with Putin or whatever it is you blue rags gossip about would be a bigger factor than her opposing the genocide in Gaza, to say nothing of having better climate policies, better immigration policies, and so on?

        “But she won’t win”

        Obviously, but her shaking Putin’s hand won’t change that. His apparent trick of buying a miniscule number of highly-targeted Facebook ads isn’t gonna do much for her, so we need to accept that assumption either way.

        I’m voting for PSL, not Greens, btw.

      • basmati@lemmus.org
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        10 hours ago

        Green party is the most progressive party that has access to 400+ electoral votes. Anyone that wants to participate in the farce would want to vote for them. And Dr Stein pisses off right wingers like no one else, which is a plus.

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          2 hours ago

          Why do Right wingers get pissed off at Stein? I do not get it. The main attack ads I have seen towards the Dr. come from the Democrats. Who try to sell her as a Spoiler candidate who is seemingly pro Putin – although no serious proof is given outside insinuations-- and also as proxy vote for Trump, because she takes away possible Dem votes.

          Is it right wingers who dislike Trump?

  • GissaMittJobb@lemmy.ml
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    19 hours ago

    I’m struggling really hard to see which voter is on the fence between Trump and Stein. Wouldn’t it be more likely to be on the fence between Stein and Harris, or Stein and the couch?

    • GarbageShootAlt2@lemmy.ml
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      11 hours ago

      Not as many people hate Harris specifically as hated Hillary, but a lot of people (for good and bad reasons) hate the Dems and also Kamala to some extent.

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      19 hours ago

      I think Trump draws a lot of broad support from his ‘anti-establishment’ rhetoric so it kinda makes sense for folks to look to other anti-establishment candidates as an alternative to him. There’s a tendency to look down upon Trump voters as only right wingers, conspiracists etc and not really understand that a lot of his support is superficial and based on limited information.

      In a way it’s not so much that Stein or other left candidates are spoilers for the establishment Dems but more the case that figures like Trump are spoilers for progressive alternatives to the establishment.

    • geneva_convenience@lemmy.mlOP
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      18 hours ago

      Jill Stein is providing spite voters an option to not vote for Donald Trump.

      Hillary took a lot of friendly fire in 2016 from the Bernie Bros who were not too happy.

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    21 hours ago

    What about four-way race? Some states still have RFK on the ballot 🥴

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    20 hours ago

    Jill Stein releases a statement: “To be clear, I only want Kamala votes please! Only former Kamala voters!”

    • sweetpotato@lemmy.ml
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      10 hours ago

      Why? What’s the excuse this time? You guys are too comfortable supporting genocide perpetrators

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        3 hours ago

        ‘What’s wrong with this foreign stooge spoiler candidate? I don’t know how elections or trolley problems work!’

        Blocked.

        • sweetpotato@lemmy.ml
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          So dnc candidates are not puppets, got it. Also the comment was made taking the survey findings for granted, so no spoiler candidates for you people, but you didn’t see that either.

          I saw everything I needed when you moved right past the genocide part though, I don’t expect someone like you to understand regardless.

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    21 hours ago

    Insanity. Anyone willing to switch to Stein should be at least as willing to switch to Harris. Someone get this goddamned grifter out of politics

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      9 hours ago

      People are allowed to stand for election without engaging in your idiotic 2 party system

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        2 hours ago

        You’re allowed to do whatever you want, I just want you to understand that you’re choosing to literally do nothing 🤷‍♂️ you’re not making a stand, you’re not sending a message, and you’re not enacting change. You’re voting for Donald Trump while making yourself feel like you’re fighting an ideological battle.

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      16 hours ago

      My wife is one. She voted for Trump in '16. She won’t vote for him again there’s no way she’ll vote for Kamala.

    • Fidel_Cashflow@lemmy.ml
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      18 hours ago

      democracy enjoyers when people vote for candidates that better represent their positions: 😡😡😡😡😡😡😡😡

      • Grapho@lemmy.ml
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        18 hours ago

        Donald Trump is a threat to democracy 😭😭😭 now shut up and vote for the candidate, peasant. You’ll have a primary when you earn it.

      • Ledivin@lemmy.world
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        12 hours ago

        Democracy enjoyers understand that this version of democracy doesn’t care about third parties 🤷‍♂️ vote for the lesser evil and campaign locally for vote reform

        • orcrist@lemm.ee
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          2 hours ago

          That’s one opinion, and it certainly has its place, but it also leads to weak candidates like Hillary Clinton. Not surprisingly, if you push weak candidates and argue that we should vote for them because they’re not as bad as the person on the other side, a lot of voters will stay home.

          After all, if you’re going to hell, does it matter if it’s slightly slower or slightly faster? Yeah, it probably does, but that story takes a long time to tell, and many people have short attention spans.

          • Ledivin@lemmy.world
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            After all, if you’re going to hell, does it matter if it’s slightly slower or slightly faster

            So you don’t actually care about the people being genocided, just how it affects you? Voting Stein will lead to more Palestinian deaths, and you are explicitly saying that you’re okay with that. Cool. You sound great.

        • sweetpotato@lemmy.ml
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          10 hours ago

          I’m not voting for the “lesser evil” when the “lesser evil” commits a genocide. There is no dilemma when we are counting genocides. When do you start realising that both are serving the 1% interests? When does this end - if the dems commit 3 genocides and the republicans 4? If the dems commit 10 and the republicans 11? The red line is long crossed.

          Don’t tell us what to do lmfao.

          • Ledivin@lemmy.world
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            Congrats, your actions likely lead to even more Palestinian deaths. Yay, you “took a stand.” The extra dead will be so thankful.

            • sweetpotato@lemmy.ml
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              It’s so funny that you think the democrats aren’t the genocidal maniacs that have unconditionally supported and armed Israel. It doesn’t get much worse than this, Israel has got literally everything it has asked for lmao. The problem is you thinking they are in any way holding back, but go off. As Joe said, no president has supported Israel as much as I did.

              Tell us how not so evil the democrats, which are funded by the military industrial complex more than the republicans, are. Tell us how they work for our interests, not the oligarchs, please.

              I’ve said this a million times, if the two candidates were Hitler and Hitler again, but he funded a little bit more the healthcare system who would you vote for? None is the answer. When the dilemma consists of ideologies and political/social trajectories that are 100% opposite to your ideal ones, the lesser evil doesn’t exist.

              Don’t blame the dead on the people who have done more than the 99% for the cause, I can’t take you seriously that way. You can blame the oligarchs and the fascists/liberals who don’t care.

              • Ledivin@lemmy.world
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                19 minutes ago

                the democrats, which are funded by the military industrial complex more than the republicans

                [citation needed]

                Tell us how they work for our interests, not the oligarchs, please.

                Yes, they’re all oligarchs. Stein included - her net worth is nearly 10x Harris’s and Walz’s combined, you fucking dolt. You’re not moving the needle, you’re just helping a worse candidate gain office.

                I’ve said this a million times, if the two candidates were Hitler and Hitler again, but he funded a little bit more the healthcare system who would you vote for? None is the answer.

                Yes, I would fucking vote for Healthcare Hitler. I don’t care that you feel bad while doing it, i care about what the potential outcomes are. You get hitler either way, why would you not make a choice that leads to a better future?

                You’re so concerned with your own feelings that you’re actively trying to make everyone’s lives worse just so you don’t feel bad. The only positive that your vanity vote provides anyone is that your fragile feelings are protected.

          • Ledivin@lemmy.world
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            2 hours ago

            You should try to enact change locally, then. You throwing your vote away doesn’t change what our system is, it just elects the candidate that will kill more people.

            • basmati@lemmus.org
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              40 minutes ago

              Hey would you look at that, greens and PSL also run local candidates and greens have more than 150 in office.

              Anyway I’m not voting for genocide little buddy. It’s weird you’re trying to convince me to.

              • Ledivin@lemmy.world
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                27 minutes ago

                Anyway I’m not voting for genocide little buddy. It’s weird you’re trying to convince me to.

                Keep telling yourself that, friend. A vote for Stein is a vote for a worse genocide. I’m sorry you prioritize your feelings over their lives.

                • basmati@lemmus.org
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                  15 minutes ago

                  There is no worse genocide, that’s not a thing, and I’ve already voted for Claudia. Stein is a fine choice for those that can’t vote for the best candidate though. No one, not one human with a brain and sense of humanity would vote for genocide, so two candidates can be struck off as choices.

      • Ledivin@lemmy.world
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        17 hours ago

        I’m sorry that I live in reality and like to focus on actual outcomes instead the little butterflies I get when I make empty idealistic speeches.

        Getting Trump elected better represents your position? Then by all means - that’s the only thing your vote can actually accomplish in her bucket.

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            16 hours ago

            Voting third party under the US system doesn’t improve society so, like you, the meme kind of misses the point.

            • Arelin@lemmy.zip
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              14 hours ago

              Voting third party under the US system in the imperial core* doesn’t improve society

              FTFY. Organizing and direct action gets concessions

            • basmati@lemmus.org
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              13 hours ago

              So don’t vote is your message. As a PSL voter I agree, but i want you to internalize what you’re saying.