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Trump is far ahead in national polling, eclipsing Florida's governor and the rest of the field, who have so far been at a loss over how to narrow that gap.
TLDR: Political scientist did a study and wrote a book on independents. Most people who identify as independent actually lean towards one party and actually act MORE partisan than a party member. The “true” independents/undecideds completely withdraw from politics and just don’t vote at all.
What independents? That argument made sense 20 years ago, but that hasn’t been a thing since the Obama administration.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/08/20/undecided-voters-2020-swing-election-independents-399505
TLDR: Political scientist did a study and wrote a book on independents. Most people who identify as independent actually lean towards one party and actually act MORE partisan than a party member. The “true” independents/undecideds completely withdraw from politics and just don’t vote at all.