Vice President Harris boasts a 13-point lead over former President Trump among women voters in a new poll, a notable edge with a major voting bloc that could be critical for her ticket in November.
An Economist/YouGov poll taken this week found 51 percent of women who are registered voters said they support Harris, while 38 percent backed her Republican rival. On the other hand, Trump, who has struggled with women voters, saw a 7-point lead among men.
I was going to say, 13 points ahead of a literal rapist who actively fights against women’s autonomy is not enough points ahead.
maybe those are the early numbers.
Ya, only 13 points is disappointing.
It’s because the Republicans have a structural advantage due to the electoral college. So Democrats need a larger margin in the popular vote to win enough seats, whereas Republicans can win even without winning the popular vote (as they did in 2016).
The Republicans have an additional structural advantage this year, as they are perpetrating massive acts of sabotage against the election system itself by inserting election deniers into positions of control over it. Between that, their control of the House, and control of SCOTUS, anything short of a Harris landslide could give them an opening to sow enough confusion and doubt to steal the presidency.
A Harris landslide victory will not stop what’s about to be attempted. I know we’re just a few months away from this but I need people to be ready for what they’re about to see.
Things will start before the election with disinformation but on the actual day of election, it will be worse than last time. People will show up armed to polling places, possibly harass voters. I wouldn’t be surprised if a few of these locations are shut down due to attacks. It will be something the US hasn’t seen before probably. If you don’t believe me, last time all this stuff happened they were unprepared. This time they aren’t.
Then shortly after the votes are cast on the day of and the following day, these actions will continue as people attack polling stations, ballot counters, and frenzy around the numbers if Trump loses. Legal battles will begin almost immediately in an attempt to slow things down.
It’s a long road to January from there. And expect it to be equally as awful. But ultimately, they will absolutely try to attack our system of confirmation. Fake electors will be lined up, legal challenges mounted, so many tactics will be deployed. You think project 2025 is bad? That’s what they’ll publish folks, imagine what they won’t. The election after an attempted insurrection is the most important one you’ll ever vote in and isn’t a time to relax.
Exactly! The alarm isn’t being raised about this anywhere near as loudly as it needs to be. I don’t know if it’s because the Republicans successfully poisoned the well on talking about election fraud or if the neoliberals are still in denial, but we’re sleepwalking
into anotherthrough an ongoing coup attempt and appear to be doing basically fuck-all about it!
Actually, electoral wise I have Harris at 278, Trump 260. And that is giving Trump PA, NV, and GA. IMO Harris will take at least two of those states. The blue wall.
You must be dropping NC into blue then? That’s not at all a likelihood right now. Possible, yes, but very hopeful. If NC goes red in your calculation, Trump wins with 276 to Harris’ 262.
I’m in agreement on WI. AZ and MI are still a toss-up.
North Carolina leans blue.
In the last fifty years, North Carolina has voted red in every presidential election besides 2008 and 1976.
The demo in states change all the time. As I understand it, North Carolinas demo has changed over the years. In 2020, Biden lost by a little over 1 percentage point. Will this year reverse the trend? We shall see.
The research triangle has brought in a lot of folks from bluer parts of the country.
Just like Nebraska’s 2nd District.
One point is commanding but four points are narrow?
That’s the joke. The New York Times are a bunch of chodes trying to sell you the narrative that Dems are unpopular.
It also speaks to the manipulation by the media. But, when Obama says that it will be close, it’s more than just a motivator. Don’t trust general polls. Look at each state poll.
If you’re a woman and you’re voting for Trump, you ain’t a woman.
-Sincerely
A woman
If you’re a human and you’re voting for Trump, you’re barely hanging on.
-Sincerely
A human.
I would probably say that if you’re voting for trump. You’re either a bigot, cultist, or the most gullible person in the world. Some sort of combination of all 3.
I like to think that somewhere there’s an unironic accelerationist for Trump. Not enough to swing any state, but just like one or two.
No wonder the right still grumbles about how letting women vote was a mistake.
Meanwhile, men - WTAF? Why would so many go for dementia donOLD?
Watching “men” idolize Trump has to be the weakest thing I’ve ever seen. He isn’t strong, intelligent, gentile, or even remotely alpha in presentation or action.
He’s a weak man’s idea of a strong man, and an idiot’s idea of a genius
He is one of the most fragile cowards on the planet. He cannot handle even the slightest criticism. He’s lazy as fuck and constantly watching TV or golfing.
And those are things that only come into focus ince you get past the parts where he is literally a rapist, insurrectionist, and con man. It is beyond comprehension that anyone considers him with any amount of respect whatsoever.
The answer, as always with extremism, comes back to indoctrination, disenfranchisement, and finally, radicalization.
There have been tons of studies in this, but at a high level, men are indoctrinated by constantly being put under a lens of toxic masculinity by their peer groups and male role models.
Then they become disenfranchised from “mainstream” ideals, not hard to do with the mental health crisis and wealth disparity we see in the world every day. Or the simpler method of being raised in a small community (a church or small town) where such progressive ideas are frowned upon and demonized.
And finally, they search for meaning and inclusion in an ‘in group’. This is natural human behavior, and is preyed upon by a laundry list of bad actors who are all too happy to offer answers, meaning, and most of all, some nebulous group to blame and attack for your problems. This step in particular has become easier and easier for more extreme groups with the advent of the internet.
It’s a vicious cycle. And that’s not to say the victims here are blameless, because of course they made their choices along the way, but they are indeed victims.
It wasn’t all that long ago that the Republican Party invested substantially in cultivating women candidates in the party. Reagan and Bush Sr in particular made a big to-do about advancing women in their administrations and through the courts. Primarily the wives and daughters and family friends of their mega-donor friends, of course. But by god, Republicans weren’t afraid to put nepo hires into high office, regardless of gender!
Who knew denigrating women would make them not want to vote for you?
Clearly not enough women are willing to stand up for their rights, frankly. How the hell is it only a 14 point lead? I get that’s a big lead, but I’d expect an 80 point lead given what we know about Republicans/Trump and women’s bodily autonomy.
Religion.
Racism. But I’m just restating your point.
That does indeed have a hell of a lot to do with it, to be sure.
I don’t know how Trump is not at 0.00 percent with women. Just blows my mind that any woman would vote for Trump at this point.
The other day I saw a car with a Rosie the Riveter bumper sticker next to Trump 2024 sticker.
I’ve been a poll worker for several years now in the midwest… The number of times I hear women here asking their husband to remind them who they’re supposed to vote for is… disheartening.
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Lemme say, personally, as an older woman, Hillary absolutely didn’t capture me. I still remember when she blamed video games for society’s problems. I grew up being underwhelmed by her. I voted and all but my point is if I had to make myself do it, there were lots of women I knew who wouldn’t bother.
Harris is sounding more and more like someone I’m excited to vote for. You can’t buy that. I am unsurprised she’s leading with women now.
As an older woman, those were my thoughts exactly. While I voted for Hillary, I didn’t feel confident about it. I’m very excited to be voting for Kamala Harris
Only 13 points?
Right?! You’d think Harris grabbed those women by… Something…
Assuming a 50/50 split between men and women, that equates to +3.5 for Trump vs +6.5 for Harris ASSUMING EVERYONE VOTES
SO GO VOTE
I would make an appeal to men to sleep in.
Ignore the polling and just vote. We haven’t won until we’ve won.
The odds look fantastic but there’s always the chance a lot of people simply shrug it off and consider the election already over due to the odds looking to be so overwhelmingly in her favor. Don’t be like that. Go out and vote unless you want dementia donnie to slip back in.
Current polling still puts DonOLD in the lead for the Electoral College. Odds are NOT fantastic, but are improving. Need to keep the pressure on for sure.
Yeah I figured that was the case but I haven’t checked up on the EC in a while. We should probably win the popular vote easily but unfortunately our elections aren’t determined by that.
Really shows how brainwashed women on the religious right and racist right are.
Makes sense Harris would.
13 points? Pffft. Hillary had a ninety-one point lead at this point.
What, she did.
Polls.
No she didn’t.
True. But this was a very common graphic.
Those were odds of winning. She was polling a single digit ahead of Trump at that time.
Lots of people confused those.
And lots of people chose not to vote because they thought it was “in the bag.”
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