Warning: Some posts on this platform may contain adult material intended for mature audiences only. Viewer discretion is advised. By clicking ‘Continue’, you confirm that you are 18 years or older and consent to viewing explicit content.
A poll is just an estimate. Obviously we will never know. But were the election held a couple months ago (vs Biden) Trump would have about an 85% chance of winning according to the best statistical models. (Source: used to work as data scientist for a major pollster and obsess over this stuff for fun)
Yeah that’s much worse than I thought. I also remember thinking, “there’s no way that many people are so willfully ignorant and will also vote.” How wrong I was.
We’ll never know, the only “poll” which matters is the election.
A poll is just an estimate. Obviously we will never know. But were the election held a couple months ago (vs Biden) Trump would have about an 85% chance of winning according to the best statistical models. (Source: used to work as data scientist for a major pollster and obsess over this stuff for fun)
deleted by creator
60% about
Problem is media reports on 60% as if it is a sure thing, when 40% is a really big chance…
Yeah that’s much worse than I thought. I also remember thinking, “there’s no way that many people are so willfully ignorant and will also vote.” How wrong I was.