• KevonLooney@lemm.ee
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    3 months ago

    He’s dropping in the polls, especially against her. Maybe some people are too young to remember, but candidates usually gain like 10% in the polls after a failed assassination. Or 5% after the convention. And their Vice Presidential Candidate gains after the convention too.

    Trump literally had no assassination or convention bump. His ceiling is less than 50% of voters. Kamala Harris has seen a large bump just from jumping into the race. Some swing state polls went from +8 or +10 trump earlier this year, to only +2 against Kamala.

    She’s only made one speech as the potential candidate! Believe me, she’s going to be on top by the day of the debate.

    • BreadstickNinja@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      Yes, I hope her momentum continues to grow and that she snaps up the undecided vote as people become more familiar with her.

      But at that point, the question becomes whether she needs to debate. The Pod Save guys were saying that if she’s ahead in the blue wall states by September it might be the smarter move to stay on the campaign trail and deny Trump the national airtime.