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Here’s a graph of UN projections showing a peak, then decline. Obviously the possible range is still too much, but
– people fear the red line of unconstrained growth but that no longer seems likely
– I fear the green line of destabilizing shrinkage
– we should tweak family support programs to try to land on yellow, where population starts to decline but slowly enough for society to adjust
Edit: sorry bad url or an image search, so let’s go with Wikipedia, showing a range of predictions with population peak sometime in the second half of this century
Here’s a graph of UN projections showing a peak, then decline. Obviously the possible range is still too much, but
– people fear the red line of unconstrained growth but that no longer seems likely
– I fear the green line of destabilizing shrinkage
– we should tweak family support programs to try to land on yellow, where population starts to decline but slowly enough for society to adjust
Edit: sorry bad url or an image search, so let’s go with Wikipedia, showing a range of predictions with population peak sometime in the second half of this century
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population