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Cake day: June 23rd, 2024

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  • I remember a study from Denmark that pointed towards convenience dwarfing every other reason (including cost) for choice of transport.

    Basically people took bikes rather than cars because it was quicker and easier to take the bike. In places where cars where more convenient, people would drive, even if it was outrageously expensive.

    Very few people were driven by health/environmental benefits, cost, fun, etc


  • Similarly to what happened with UKIP, the Tories will just take Reforms policies, bring in new further-right leadership and support will come back.

    Especially after Labour (who just got elected on a fairly bland centrist manifesto) won’t manage to magically fix things in 2-3 years. Conservative media will blame Labour for all the issues (even though most are the fault of the Tories) and Conservative voters will rally around the banner of “Labour out!”.

    Or Reform just eats the Tories, which seems a but less likely to me, but either way the split won’t last.